Defence and aerospace professionals reviewing an unmanned aircraft model in a UK defence supply chain engineering facility.
Corporate Finance

UK defence and aerospace supply chain M&A

Helping defence and aerospace businesses maximise value and capitalise on growing M&A opportunities.

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Defence and aerospace supply chain deal activity


Market momentum driving UK defence and aerospace supply chain activity


The most significant rearmament cycle since the Cold War is creating an exceptional opportunity for UK defence businesses.

The UK defence sector is undergoing a generational transformation. Driven by an irreversible shift in the geopolitical environment and a government commitment to sustained spending growth, defence has moved from the periphery of investor interest to one of the most actively targeted sectors in the UK mid-market.

For businesses operating across the defence supply chain, from advanced manufacturing and systems integration to maintenance, cyber, engineering services and dual-use technology, the demand for capability has never been greater, and the capital seeking exposure to that demand has rarely been more available. Long-term programmes such as AUKUS and the Global Combat Air Programme are creating multi-decade supply chain visibility that flows through to tier 2 and tier 3 suppliers. For UK defence businesses, the question is no longer whether investor interest exists, but how best to position to capture it. Explore our recent Corporate Finance Deals for further insight into current market activity.

Key deal drivers shaping UK defence and aerospace supply chain activity in 2026


Government spending as a structured tailwind

UK defence spending is expected to reach £62.2 billion in 2025/26, rising to £73.5 billion by 2028/29, with capital spending growing 8.6% annually in real terms, providing long-term revenue visibility for buyers and lenders.

Private equity discovering defence

Private equity activity in aerospace and defence accelerated in the second half of 2025 as ESG frameworks evolved to distinguish prohibited weapons from defensive and dual-use technologies, expanding capital pools and enabling buy-and-build strategies.

NATO commitments extending the horizon

At the 2025 NATO Summit in The Hague, all 32 member states committed to allocating at least 3.5% of GDP to core defence by 2035, with total security spending reaching 5% of GDP, thereby sustaining long-term demand.

Dual-use technology as the growth frontier

Capital is flowing into capabilities spanning civilian and defence markets, including cyber, electronic warfare, C4ISR, AI-enabled systems, sensors, secure communications and unmanned systems, attracting diverse buyers and commanding strong valuations across global markets.

A window for exits and pre-exit growth


Selling in the near term

For shareholders considering an exit in the next 12 to 36 months, current conditions are the most favourable in a generation:

  • government contract backlogs and long duration programme commitments provide revenue visibility that underpins buyer confidence and supports strong valuations
  • competitive tension between PE-backed consolidators, strategic trade buyers and international acquirers is sustaining pricing for quality assets
  • ESG barriers to defence investment are structurally declining, expanding the pool of available capital
  • buyers are increasingly engaging before a formal process begins, seeking to secure quality assets early.

Acquiring ahead of an exit

For management teams planning a medium-term exit, 2026 is an unusually compelling time to build:

  • fragmented supply chain segments remain available at rational entry multiples before consolidation compresses availability
  • government spending commitments create a tailwind that benefits acquirers immediately on completion
  • adding capability in cyber, unmanned systems, MRO or engineering services ahead of a process significantly expands the buyer universe
  • dual- use businesses with both civilian and defence revenue streams consistently attract the most competitive processes.

Areas of enhanced buyer focus

These sub-sectors benefit from structural insulation from economic cycles, driven by regulation and long-term compliance obligations.

Platforms and systems

Advanced manufacturing, systems integration, electronics and sensors, C4ISR, secure communications.

Cyber and digital

Cyber security, electronic warfare, AI-enabled defence systems, secure cloud infrastructure.

Dual-use technology

Unmanned systems, satellite and space, critical national infrastructure protection.
Advanced manufacturing, systems integration, electronics and sensors, C4ISR, secure communications.
Cyber security, electronic warfare, AI-enabled defence systems, secure cloud infrastructure.
Unmanned systems, satellite and space, critical national infrastructure protection.

Maintenance, repair and overhaul

Air, land and naval platforms, government contracted, long-term revenue.

Engineering and professional services

Defence engineering, project management, technical advisory to MOD and prime contractors.

Supply chain and components

Aerospace components, specialist manufacturing, munitions supply chain, propulsion systems.
Air, land and naval platforms, government contracted, long-term revenue.
Defence engineering, project management, technical advisory to MOD and prime contractors.
Aerospace components, specialist manufacturing, munitions supply chain, propulsion systems.

Services

How we can help


Crowe UK provides integrated deal advisory services with a strong emphasis on commercial value, execution certainty and outcomes.

Our team combines transaction experience, sector insight and financial rigour to support clients at every stage of the deal lifecycle, from strategy and preparation through to execution and completion.

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Capital Markets

Supporting businesses considering equity raises, shareholder liquidity events and capital structuring, helping position them clearly and credibly for investors, funding discussions and long-term sustainable growth.

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Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A)

Advising on buy-side and sell-side transactions, supporting teams and shareholders with target identification, buyer sourcing, process management and negotiation, maximising value and achieving strategic outcomes.

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Valuations

Delivering robust business valuations for statutory and transactional purposes, including purchase price allocations, providing clear insights that support decision-making, reporting requirements and stakeholder confidence.

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Due diligence

Going beyond the numbers to assess earnings quality, cashflow, working capital and key commercial risks, providing useful insights to support negotiations, manage risk and inform post-deal planning.

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Modelling

Developing flexible financial models to evaluate scenarios, assess performance and support strategic decisions, combining technical accuracy with commercial insight to provide clarity in complex situations.
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Debt advisory

Advising on debt raising, refinancing and capital structure optimisation, supporting lender engagement and funding strategy to ensure financing solutions align with business objectives and transaction requirements.

Contact us


Matteo Timpani
Matteo Timpani
Partner, Head of Corporate FinanceLondon