Note: This article is part of a series on risk areas that internal audit teams should consider for their risk assessment and planning for and throughout 2027. Other articles cover trends in the following areas:
As energy companies prepare for 2027, they face growing risks from interconnected infrastructure and long-term capital investments as demand, regulation, technology, and geopolitical conditions shift.
Five areas warrant greater attention in internal audit planning:
Internal audit can help boards assess whether management’s assumptions, controls, and contingency plans adequately address these interconnected risks and whether early warning indicators prompt timely action.
Energy operations increasingly depend on connections among control centers, plants, substations, pipelines, terminals, field devices, cloud platforms, equipment manufacturers, and remote support providers. Those connections improve visibility and performance, but they also create paths through which compromised credentials, an unmanaged asset, a vulnerable vendor, or a poorly controlled change can reach systems that control physical processes. The result could be an outage, unsafe operating conditions, an environmental release, equipment damage, or loss of critical infrastructure availability.
In its “Secure Connectivity Principles for Operational Technology” report, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency emphasized that every connection should have a defined business requirement, minimum necessary access, secure design, and ongoing monitoring. Internal audit should test whether those principles are operating in practice, including for assets outside the narrow scope of a compliance program. Because safety and availability constraints can limit conventional scanning or patching, exceptions should be visible, time-bound, and supported by tested compensating controls.
The North American Electric Reliability Corp., in its “Long-Term Reliability Assessment,” forecasted 224 gigawatts of summer peak-demand growth and 246 gigawatts of winter growth over 10 years, with 13 of 23 assessment areas facing resource-adequacy challenges. Data centers and other large loads can request service faster than generation, transmission, substations, fuel arrangements, and interconnections can be planned and built. Forecast error can therefore create reliability exposure, stranded investment, cost-allocation disputes, or delayed customer connections.
In its July 2026 order on computational load integration, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission also pointed to the operating characteristics of large computational loads, not only their total demand. Internal audit should examine how commercial commitments, planning models, operating procedures, and capital decisions use a consistent and sufficiently conservative view of new load. Reviews should also consider who bears upgrade costs and curtailment risk when forecast demand, connection timing, or facility performance differs from the approved case.
Energy companies are pursuing large generation, transmission, liquefied natural gas, pipeline, storage, grid modernization, and renewable programs while competing for engineering capacity, skilled labor, equipment, materials, financing, and regulatory approvals. These projects share tightly linked dependencies. A late permit, interconnection study, transformer, turbine, land right, or design decision can move the critical path and trigger contractor claims, escalation, financing costs, and lost revenue. Weak front-end definition can turn strategic urgency into premature commitments and repeated re-baselining.
Internal audit should focus on whether governance produces credible forecasts and early action, not only whether projects follow a checklist. The most useful reviews connect the business case, approved baseline, contract terms, field progress, risk register, contingency draw, and expected operating benefits. Portfolio-level review is also important when projects compete for the same people, outage windows, equipment, or financing and can no longer be evaluated as independent commitments.
Changes in statutes, agency rules, and permitting requirements can alter project economics and operating obligations after capital has been committed. Federal, state, local, tribal, and international requirements might move on different timelines or point in different directions. The risk is not limited to noncompliance. Management might make irreversible decisions using one policy outcome while approvals, customer recovery, or supply-chain eligibility remain uncertain.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s analysis of world oil transit chokepoints identifies the Strait of Hormuz and Strait of Malacca as the most important strategic routes by oil volume. Disruption at a major chokepoint can reduce the availability of crude oil and refined products, lengthen voyages, and increase freight costs. The effects can spread through benchmark prices, regional differentials, and refinery margins even when a company does not buy directly from the affected country.
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